Posted: 05 Jul 2008 11:18 AM CDT
The report regarding the CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll compares the figures from this latest poll with the poll they conducted in June.
A recently released CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll shows that the number of Hillary Clinton supporters planning to vote for John McCain is down. The bad news for Obama is that the number of Clinton supports planning to vote for Barack Obama is also down
In June, before Hillary Clinton suspended her campaign, 60 percent of Clinton backers said they would vote for Obama if he became the presumptive Democratic nominee.
That numbers has now dropped 6 percentage point with 54 percent now saying they will vote for Barack Obama.
In the June poll 22 percent of Clinton supporters also sad they would abstain from voting at all if Obama became the nominee for the party and that number has risen considerably as a third of her supporters are saying they will abstain from voting now that Obama is the party's nominee.
Furthermore, Hillary Clinton support has increased since she suspended her campaign instead of decreasing, with 43 percent of the registered Democrats that were polled saying they would prefer Clinton to be the Democratic nominee for president, which is up by 8 percentage points from the 35 percent that expressed that view in the previous poll.
All Registered Democrats.
In June Barack Obama received support from 59 percent of the registered Democrats that were poll and in the most recent CNN/Opinion Research Corp., that number has dropped by 6 percentage point to 54 percent.
CNN senior political analyst, Bill Schneider, attempts to explain why he feels this happening and addresses the Clinton supporters issue when he says, "These things always take time to heal. I think Clinton's supporters are waiting to see if Sen. Obama will pick her as vice president. That would certainly be very healing to them."
But most political observers agree the prospects of an Obama-Clinton ticket are dim, most notably because Clinton remains a divisive figure in American politics and Obama's message of change threatens to be muddled by the 16 years Clinton has spent in Washington
Some political analysts believe it could take up to four weeks for Clinton supporters to "move past" her loss of the tense primaries between her and Obama.
"Many voters find it tough to immediately switch allegiances to a candidate that they once opposed, so they find a 'neutral' setting more comfortable for awhile," said Keating Holland, CNN polling director. "If that's what is happening to the Clinton supporters who now say they plan to stay at home, Obama may have nothing to worry about. If not, there's a big chunk of the party base that Obama won't be able to count on in November."
These numbers bring up the popular vote totals to begin to even estimate how many voters we are talking about if an actual one third of Clinton supporters decide to stay home and/or vote for John McCain in November.
Including Michigan, Maine, Iowa, Nevada and Washington, Hillary Clinton has, by Real Clear Politics figures, 18,046,007.
Even though the Democratic National Party did not count all those votes for their official tally and instead relied on delegate figures, those are still Clinton supporters that went to the polls and cast votes for her.
One third of those voters equals over 6 million votes.
Putting it into perspective, the political analysts, with historical habits taken into account, believe that a number of those voters will indeed "move past" Clinton's loss in the primaries and cast their vote for Barack Obama, yet the numbers in this latest poll compared to the last poll argues that it may not be that easy.
With Clinton supporter websites, such as "PUMA", "Just say no" and the other 120 plus sites that have sprung up online, getting media attention and increasing their membership levels, this might explain why Barack Obama's numbers are decreasing instead of increasing even with him and Clinton making joint appearances for unity within the party.
In one manner this can be compared to the problem that John McCain has with the conservative Christians, where news came out last week that 100 conservative leaders from around the country decided to unite behind John McCain.
This type of example could bring good and bad news for Barack Obama.
Christian conservatives were slow to embrace John McCain and, in fact, it took them over three months since John McCain became the presumptive nominee to make a public showing of coalescing around him.
The good news, for Obama, that can be taken from this example is that members of a political party, generally end up backing the nominee for the party.
The bad news for Obama, is that three months, if the Democratic supporters follow the conservative Christians example, is cutting it mighty close since the general election is in November, especially since polling done since Clinton suspended her campaign is showing support from Clinton supporters as well as all registered Democrats is decreasing for Obama instead of increasing.
The other worrisome aspect for Barack Obama is that, although the conservative Christians had mistrust for John McCain, there was not the level of vitriol between them and McCain as was seen between Clinton and Obama or Clinton supporters and Obama supporters during their long drawn out primary season.
The second issue, which is the support from all the Democratic registered voters that were polled, decreasing, could stem from the anger some Obama supporters are expressing about his most recent "move to the middle" of the political spectrum.
Polls are but a snapshot at the political atmosphere at any given moment. There is no doubt, from either side of the political aisle that these numbers will change one way or another in the next few months.
What polls do give observers is a look at trends or patterns that emerge as well as which direction public opinion is heading on any given issue.
Posted: 04 Jul 2008 06:29 PM CDT
Posted: 04 Jul 2008 03:59 PM CDT
Fair winds and a sailing see My Brother.
Don't tell me these men do not love their country and don't tell me that they don't believe in the cause of Freedom because that is assuredly untrue. Don't tell me that Barack Hussein Obama supports these Troops and McCain does not.
At Camp Victory Iraq, 1215 men in uniform fighting for the freedoms of the Iraqi people against the PC termed "radical Islam" reenlisted in a display of force and solidarity to the United States, her people and the people of the world to witness and gaze upon them with absolute awe.
I am awestruck by this development and it humbles this Warrior beyond comprehension. The words of Katy Benko's voice comes to me in waves of splendor and pride and I find it disgusting how my alleged fellow Americans, to make a political hack point that it would be better for the Troops fighting a war to have the first Marxist elected as President of the United States as Europe so desperately tries to rid itself of their socialist buffoons.
Don't tell me that Barack Hussein Obama won't sell these Troops down the river and don't you dare tell me that McCain would as well. Just ask John "Jack" Murtha how selling the Troops down the river goes down. Don't tell me that the American Leftinistra "supports the Troops" because they certainly do not. I have spoken with them one-on-one and their main stay of rhetoric is "what's wrong with communism anyway?"
BAGHDAD — Servicemembers from all over Iraq gathered here today in the Al Faw Palace rotunda on Camp Victory, to re-enlist and celebrate America's Independence Day.HOOAH? HOOAH! That should say it all but I'm not done yet.
We hear how "the world hates America" and no one likes us. Then explain this; why are millions flocking here to the hated USA to start a new life in the Land of the Free both legally and illegally and there are NONE trying to get out? And if they try to get out, who, then, is stopping them? I call balderdash.
Also, explain this; a message from Polish Troops in Afghanistan sent to the US Commanders there as follows...(emphasis mine)
Dear Friends,The United States is still the Beacon of Hope throughout the world and the only ones that hate us are our enemies and they are relatively few.
Other countries can only hope and pray for what we enjoy every day and we are willing to throw it away for a Marxist as President.
STOP THE WORLD! I WANT TO GET OFF!
And people tell me that it would only hurt for a year or two. Horse hockeys. And then what? Climb out of a cistern as we did after President Carter was booted in disgrace? No thanks. That really didn't work out that well...in the long run now did it? If it worked out good, why then did we get Clinton? I haven't heard a viable explanation up to this point. I have heard some smarmy rhetoric and political hacketry but it doesn't hold up to keen observation. And, don't quote polls either...they mean absolutely nothing at this point because there is absolutely nothing to compare to.
As Europe is preparing itself for civil war to regain their freedoms that their dhimmified leaders gave away and as Shar'ia Law sweeps across the continent, here we are, in the United States, with men willing to give the ultimate sacrifice for us retain our way of life which includes Canada, tossing them to the Marxist dogs.
Simply unacceptable, deplorable and disgusting to say the least.
The men in the picture above deserve so much more than some political wet dream when we can win this thing here and now. But, alas, it is too hard and the leftinistra are too loud and "odd" and their vitriol can't be taken much more.
Please. Grow up.
When I was in the field and my son was also in the field and as all of the men in women in Iraq and Afghanistan understand - Embrace The Suck. If we and they can do it for you, at least you can do the same for them no matter how much of the Suck you have to embrace.
God Bless Our Troops.
Posted: 04 Jul 2008 03:16 PM CDT
Those words are part of an interview a Gold Star Mother gave to her local paper and that is published today. THIS picture is of her son, Josh Rodgers. CWO2 Rodgers was killed in Afghanistan May 30, 2007.
I have been aware of this family for quite some time as my friend Don goes every Friday to do a 2 mile Red Shirt Friday Walk to honour Josh's memory. Yes, the brat is on the walk by virtue of a picture of me that Don has attached to one of his flags that he flies proudly. We agreed that Don would do this, so that all of Josh's family knows they have prayers and support from outside America. It is important to me.
Today, especially, I ask you to go read about, and meet, this amazing family. You can find this family on the Nevada Appeal site here. Then, as you go about your July 4th celebrations, take a minute - or more - and reflect on ALL the amazing American families, both throughout history and in our times, who are paying the price of service. They deserve that, at the very least.
Shannon Litz/Nevada Appeal News Service
Cross-posted at NewsBlaze, Assoluta Tranquillita, Tanker Bros and MBVD!
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